Fixed Matches Real Odds
Daily Free Tips 1×2
UNDERSTAND THE CONCEPT OF VALUE
Critical. If you don’t have this, walk away. Sure you might be certain that a 1.25 favourite is going to win, but are the fixed matches real odds being offered giving any value?
Plenty of times we’ve heard casual gamblers say “There’s no way this team is going to lose this game.” Well they might be legitimate favourites, but is the probability of them winning fixed matches better than the odds being offered? Betting with this frame of mind is a little like saying an over-priced wide-screen TV was good value just because you really really really wanted it. It doesn’t work.
Value is a simple concept, but most of the betting fixed matches public don’t understand this. And perhaps thankfully so, because its this naive or ‘square’ money that can skew the market, leaving great opportunities for the minority of gamblers who do know how to recognize value.
Being able to spot value means that you are able to spot fixed matches 1×2 that are too high, consistently and systematically – and capitalize on those opportunities.
In principle this is not unlike successful trading with stocks: It makes sense to buy a particular stock when it is undervalued, as this means it likely will appreciate in value later. If you are focused on sports betting fixed matches, than your job each match day is to find the undervalued teams, and “buy their stock” in a manner of speaking.
Spotting value is in essence about judging probabilities more correctly than the market does. Of course it is difficult to do that for every game and every sport, but that isn’t necessary. Your big advantage over the bookmaker lies in the ability to skip matches with unfavourable odds – just like you don’t have to purchase all stocks available.
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The bookmaker pretty much has to offer fixed matches for almost all games, at the very least in the most popular leagues.
Spotting value is the hardest thing to do in this business, and you will need a lot of practice to pull it off consistently. Only once you have developed your ability to consistently identify value, you will have a systematic edge.
UNDERSTAND BASIC MATHS
If you’ve ever said the phrase “I’m not a maths guy but….”, then you probably shouldn’t be a betting guy either. While plenty of gamblers can make a success of it by betting on instinct and ‘feel’, to be successful long term you need a viable staking plan and you need to understand what the odds reflect in terms of probability.
In short, it’s a numbers game, and you need an adequate relationship with division and multiplication as a minimum.
UNDERSTAND HOW THE BOOKMAKERS MAKE THE ODDS
This depends upon the popularity of the event, but in general, bookmaker fixed matches will be more a reflection of what they expect the general public to play, rather than on the actual probabilities of either outcome. Of course, it’s not quite that simple, but in general, bookmakers will set their Fixed matches real odds so as to attract betting fixed matches on either side of the fixed matches, so as to balance their liability and take their commission.
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This leaves smart gamblers to find great value opportunities where the general public’s opinion is just plain wrong. It also means that great value can find on events where there is expection to be greater interest than normal by the occasional or casual gambler, who let’s be honest, knows nothing or very little in terms of profitable betting fixed matches strategy. Events like the Super Bowl, Cup finals and major horse racing events are prime candidates for this sort of opportunity.
The right booking site is the key
If you want to bet successfully, you need the right bookmaker. You will need to find bookmakers that actually let you win. Sadly it’s an ugly truth that most bookmakers won’t and will limit their successful customers, or may even outright ban them.
Of course that way you can’t possibly plan for success, as your winning would always stay fictional. Happily there are certain bookmakers that do not limit or ban their successful customers. One of the most well known bookmakers of this kind is Pinnacle Sports (residing in Curacao), as well as the Asian fixed matches bookies SBObetand IBCbet. The latter two also happen to be the worldwide market leaders when it comes to soccer betting. On the other hand, if you consider yourself a casual betting fixed matches type, going with well established bookies is the perfect choice.
The business model of all these bookmakers is based on low margins and high volumes. This means they simply want to have as much action as possible, encouraged by a small bookmaker margin which translates into Fixed matches real odds for the customer.
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These bookies accept winners not because they want to make the world a better place (that’s just a side effect), but rather because they can use that information to their advantage, for instance by adjusting their betting fixed matches lines.
DON’T HOPE FOR THE BIG SCORE
Multi-bets. Parlays. Teasers. Whatever you like to call them, know when to bet them. And when not to. Sure they offer the promise of the big score, the big pay day, but unless you have done your analysis and have located true value, they are a terrible way to bet.
Look at it this way. If you place a multi-bet fixed matches of 4 legs, and you were getting full price even money odds of 2.00 for each leg, the odds for that multi would be 16.00. Now lets look at a real world example where you’re being offered lets say 1.90 for ‘even money’ with the bookmaker taking out 5%: the odds for that same 4 leg multi would be just 13.00. That’s taking out close to 19% of the full price of that bet.
But if you have located true value, then multi’s can be tremendous value as you multiply the value into each leg. The issue is of course, locating true value. Everyone who adds a leg to a multi does so because they believe they are finding value. Nobody bets odds fixed matches that don’t are not Fixed matches real odds. But key to creating value multi’s is in finding true value or else you’re only diminishing your chances of success with each under valued leg you add.
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HAVE A LONG TERM SENSIBILITY
If you take your betting daily fixed match 1×2 seriously, you need to think long term. Build your betting free fixed bankroll, steadily increase the amount you bet on each game, and soon enough you’ll find you’re making some decent pocket money on the side, and maybe, just maybe, if you stick with it long enough, you can make a living wage out of it.
Never forget: Betting fixed Match today, like any other form of serious investment, is a marathon, not a sprint. Accordingly it will take a while for your bankroll to grow. If you’re patient and successful however, the compound interest effect will be on your side. What will look like painfully slow growth initially will end up picking up a remarkable exponential dynamic.
You will have to deal with more swings, losing streaks, winning streaks. Making the curve less smooth and requiring a greater number of bets. Nevertheless the general dynamic holds true – how far you can get with 5% value is quite amazing. Doesn’t even take all that long.